| WHICH WORLD? Global Destinies, Regional Choices: Scenarios for the 21st Century Allen Hammond Washington, DC: Island Press, June 1998 |
Rating: 5.0 High |
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| ISBN-13 978-1-55963-575-2 | ||||
| ISBN 1-55963-575-4 | 306pp. | HC/GSI | $35.00 | |
| Preface | ix |
| Acknowledgements | xiii |
| PART I. LOOKING AHEAD | |
| Chapter 1 Thinking About the Future |
3 |
| Chapter 2 The Power of Scenarios |
13 |
| PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS | |
| Chapter 3 Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity? |
26 |
| Chapter 4 Fortress World: Instability and Violence? |
37 |
| Chapter 5 Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor? |
47 |
| PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE | |
| Chapter 6 Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological |
66 |
| Chapter 7 Critical Environmental Trends |
87 |
| Chapter 8 Critical Security Trends |
102 |
| Chapter 9 Critical Social and Political Trends |
115 |
| PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES | |
| Chapter 10 Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability? |
130 |
| Chapter 11 China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue? |
148 |
| Chapter 12 India: A Second Independence? |
172 |
| Chapter 13 Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy? |
187 |
| Chapter 14 North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever? |
201 |
| Chapter 15 Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What? |
213 |
| Chapter 16 North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation? |
223 |
| PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES | |
| Chapter 17 Choosing Our Future |
239 |
| Which World? On-line: A Hyperforum on the Future | 253 |
| Appendix. Regions and Projections: The Details | 255 |
| Notes | 269 |
| Index | 293 |
To contact Chris Winter, send email to this address.